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Wednesday, December 25, 2024

Week 15: Projections, starts, sits and more.

SportsWeek 15: Projections, starts, sits and more.

Time to check out the Week 15 fantasy football rankings, sleepers and game previews.

We want to look at recent performance versus year-long with defenses, as in-season adjustments can change things.

If Josh Jacobs plays, he is a risky running back for me, as he is a volume-reliant one. The only team to have a game hit the over since Week 3 is the Chargers. If Alexander Mattison isn't there, Ty Chandler would be a nice running back, but he would be riskier than usual. The Vikings have allowed three double-digit receiver scores, no more than 15 points and one 100+ receiving yards game since Week 4. The streak of four straight opposing running backs scoring at least 13.9+ against the Bengals came to an end with the call of a touchdown by Zack Moss. If Jonathan Taylor plays, there is a risk that the Colts share the workload similar to his early-season return, which is why he is an RB2. If Jonathan Taylor is out, the apologies for Zack Moss are done, and he is an RB2. Jaylen Warren has 51.6, 38.0 and 42.3RBTouch% with 5.7- 6.0 points in each game since Matt Canada was fired. Matthew Stafford and Russell Wilson have more than double their touchdown/att% when under pressure versus not pressured. The Broncos defense has vastly improved since Week 5, but they still give up double-digit runs to five different players over the last four games. The Broncos haven't allowed a quarterback to score more than 17 points since Week 4. The Bears have not held a team to less than 54 rushing yards since Week 3, and the Lions have been the only team to rush for over 97 yards against them. In his first two starts, Joe Flacco had 69.9% of his targets accounted for by Amari Cooper, Elijah Moore and David Njoku. He had 72.2RB Touch% last week with all three running backs active, which was his second-highest mark of the year. Chris Godwin is the only wideout with a touchdown and over 500 receiving yards. When Christian is out, Doubs and Reed are tied at 20.9 TmTGT% with Dontayvion Wicks third at 14.4%. Drake London is the 10th wideout to have over 100 receiving yards in a game this year. Noah Brown is a boom/bust receiver with a decent option in the form ofXavier Hutchinson if Collins is not active. The Texans have kept the last four backfields from scoring a rushing touchdown. Only four players for the year have a higher TmAirYD% than DeAndre. Dalvin Cook has 10 and 8 touches in the last two games, his most since Week 3, but Breece Hall has 19 and 18 in the last two games, his most since Week 9. Only two of the six wideouts this year have double-digits, and that's because the only two who did were Jaylen Waddle and Tyreek Hill. Tua Tagovailoa is tied for 20th with Mitchell Trubisky and Taylor Heinicke and only three quarterbacks have multiple touchdown passes against the Jets. If Isiah Pacheco plays, that means he doesn't need to rush back. The Chiefs don't need to force Pacheco because their backfield works well with the Jerick McKinnon/Clyde Edwards-Helaire duo. The Vikings and 49ers are tied at 1.6%. The only other running back who can say they are in the Top 8 in FPPG,RBTouch% and TmTGT% is Christian McCaffrey. The Saints have allowed one wideout to reach over 100 receiving yards all year and one receiver touchdown. Chris Olave has five games with double-digits and is sixth in TmTGT% (46.3), 12th in receiving yards (401) and 15th in points (72.1). Since their bye week, the Carolinas have only allowed two double-digit wideout scores to their backfield, and they did it against the Texans and Vikings. Bijan Robinson has scored in four of his last five games, and has been in the top 10 in FPPG in three of them. Only two quarterbacks have scored more than 18 points in a game this year, and those were in Weeks 5 and 6. Without Brian Robinson, the Commanders would have a nice floor running back in Antonio Gibson, and a nice floor running back in Chris Rodriguez. In his games with the Rams, Williams has a 74.5RBTouch% and averages 19.1 points, which is second to Christian McCaffrey's 22.0 for the year. If Michael Wilson can return, he is a risk. Brock Purdy leads the league with 15.4 YD/comp, first in the league, and is second in the league with 6.5TD/INT. Brandon Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel are both amazing, but Aiyuk is the better play with a higher YPRR, plus a higher YD/TGT. The zone is run by the Cards. The Bills ran three-wide 51.4% of the time through Week 7, and then 79.9% of the time from Weeks 8-13, and back to 46.6% in Week 14. Josh Allen has not seen a big difference in his score since Week 6 when under pressure or not, despite the fact that the Cowboys have the third highest QB Pressure%.

The 25.7 TmTGT% and 18.9 FPPG that Zay Flowers has has ranked 15th and second for the year. After losing Christian Kirk, the Jags have a 25.0 TmTGT%, with Zay Jones leading the way with 28.0 catches, 10 yards, and 105 yards, whileParker Washington has two receiving touchdown, despite two RZ targets to six and three for Calvin Ridley. Justice Hill has scored 20.4 points since Mitchell returned, but theRBTouch% is 40.7 for Mitchell, 38.9 for the other two, and 40.7 for Edwards.

Since Week 9 he has averaged 10.8 carries and 12.3 touches with just 3.5 FPPG and just 3.9 touches over the last three weeks. The Rams didn't have a double-digit running back score against them since Williams was out. Smith is concerned that Goedert didn't look 100%.

This is about chasing upside and often carries more risk, and they are upside plays you might consider over a solid floor option.

WSH's quarterback is Sam Howell.

The running backs are Najee Harris of the PIT and the NE's Ezekiel Elliott.

The person is Zay Flowers, BAL.

Tucker is a football player.

Let's get dangerous.

Russell Wilson is the quarterback for the Denver Broncos.

Rico Dowdle, DAL; Keaton Mitchell, BAL.

Noah Brown, HOU; Jordan Addison, MIN.

WSH'sLogan Thomas is a tight end.

If you read last week's list, you knew what was coming this week.

DuckTales is coming back! X-men is coming back! I initially didn't like the Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles remake, but it was the best series they had ever had, and it was the introduction to Darkwing Duck that made me want to watch Rescue Rangers. I want to be the very best in Justice League: TAS, and like the Simpsons, always different and interesting things to look for. The chorus makes it so! One punch man! The 90s block of Gummi Bears was near perfect, but Talespin won't make the list, so it's time for Bojack Horseman. Spider-Man is hokey and still great, but people will hate me for it being this low, but hey, it is my list.

The Honorable Mention was the thundercats. Sailor Moon had some of the best non-lyrics intros, but I still don't know if the voice singing was supposed to sound semi-off.

There are football projects in week 15.

My rankings can differ, for example, from the order I would start players in, such as, "Need highest upside, even if risky."

Projections can be downloaded LINK.

Week 15 Fantasy football rankings.

Keep an eye on it.

I know that many people view this on their phone, but I recommend that you use the rankings on a PC or laptop. If you can, open the browser on your phone to get the scrolling to work.

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